Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.3% | 82.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.7% | 83.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +17 (95-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 40 | 11-24 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 10 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 23 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 33 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 27 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 16 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Calbert Cheaney * | 36 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| Karl Malone * | 32 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 31 | 9-18 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 16 | - |
| John Stockton * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| John Amaechi | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter