Model Predictions
| Model | Boston Celtics | Milwaukee Bucks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.0% | 42.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Milwaukee Bucks -2 (95-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine Walker * | 41 | 10-21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 19 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 36 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Paul Pierce * | 33 | 6-22 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | -2 | - |
| Kedrick Brown * | 32 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 20 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 28 | 6-10 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Eric Williams | 25 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Shammond Williams | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Mason * | 38 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Ray Allen * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 28 | 7-15 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 30 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Michael Redd | 22 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Ervin Johnson | 20 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter