Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Grizzlies | Oklahoma City Thunder | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.4% | 64.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oklahoma City Thunder +6 (103-97). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Memphis Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pau Gasol * | 44 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 14 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 30 | - |
| Lorenzen Wright * | 43 | 9-15 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 15 | - |
| Shane Battier * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Jason Williams * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Gordan Giricek * | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Drew Gooden | 28 | 6-14 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Brevin Knight | 28 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Wesley Person | 24 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Stromile Swift | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Earl Watson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 44 | 12-26 | 1-3 | 2-8 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 41 | 9-20 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 24 | 10 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 34 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 19 | 0-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome James * | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Desmond Mason | 39 | 9-13 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 33 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Ansu Sesay | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
* = starter