Model Predictions
| Model | Atlanta Hawks | San Antonio Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.8% | 87.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.6% | 69.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 37.3% | 62.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Antonio Spurs +13 (106-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Atlanta Hawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shareef Abdur-Rahim * | 40 | 6-13 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | - |
| Jason Terry * | 37 | 7-15 | 3-5 | 4-5 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 10 | - |
| Glenn Robinson * | 37 | 4-13 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Mike Wilks * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Theo Ratliff * | 25 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Dan Dickau | 21 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Nazr Mohammed | 19 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Alan Henderson | 14 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Ira Newble | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Darvin Ham | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Dion Glover | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
San Antonio Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Duncan * | 35 | 9-16 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 27 | 27 | - |
| Tony Parker * | 34 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Bruce Bowen * | 29 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| David Robinson * | 24 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Stephen Jackson * | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Malik Rose | 27 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Steven Smith | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Manu Ginobili | 19 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Steve Kerr | 13 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Kevin Willis | 7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Mengke Bateer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter