Model Predictions
| Model | Toronto Raptors | Brooklyn Nets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.3% | 89.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Brooklyn Nets +11 (88-77). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morris Peterson * | 41 | 6-11 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 10 | - |
| Damone Brown * | 35 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Jerome Williams * | 32 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 5-10 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 28 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 25 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Art Long | 23 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 20 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 6 | - |
Brooklyn Nets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucious Harris * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Richard Jefferson * | 25 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Jason Kidd * | 25 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Jason Collins * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Kenyon Martin * | 21 | 6-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Brian Scalabrine | 34 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Aaron Williams | 24 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| Chris Childs | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Kerry Kittles | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Anthony Johnson | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Tamar Slay | 7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter