Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Lakers | Houston Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Rockets +4 (108-104). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobe Bryant * | 49 | 5-21 | 2-6 | 10-12 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 20 | - |
| Shaquille O'Neal * | 47 | 13-26 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 20 | - |
| Rick Fox * | 32 | 5-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Derek Fisher * | 29 | 6-12 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Samaki Walker * | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Robert Horry | 39 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Kareem Rush | 23 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Devean George | 20 | 3-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Brian Shaw | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
Houston Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuttino Mobley * | 49 | 8-17 | 3-4 | 10-10 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Steve Francis * | 48 | 12-21 | 6-8 | 14-17 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 44 | 35 | - |
| James Posey * | 45 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Ming Yao * | 37 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Eddie Griffin * | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Maurice Taylor | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Kelvin Cato | 15 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Moochie Norris | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Terence Morris | 7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter