Model Predictions
| Model | Cleveland Cavaliers | Denver Nuggets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.7% | 56.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.9% | 65.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Denver Nuggets +17 (97-80). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Cleveland Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricky Davis * | 46 | 3-14 | 0-2 | 6-11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Carlos Boozer * | 40 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Zydrunas Ilgauskas * | 34 | 9-12 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 26 | 22 | - |
| Darius Miles * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Smush Parker * | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jumaine Jones | 30 | 4-11 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Milt Palacio | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Dajuan Wagner | 19 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Chris Mihm | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeSagana Diop | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Denver Nuggets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juwan Howard * | 38 | 11-23 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25 | 12 | - |
| Nene Hilario * | 35 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Junior Harrington * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Vincent Yarbrough * | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Marcus Camby * | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Rodney White | 27 | 9-15 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 9 | - |
| Ryan Bowen | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Nikoloz Tskitishvili | 14 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| John Crotty | 13 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Chris Andersen | 13 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Mark Blount | 12 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Donnell Harvey | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter