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Model Predictions

Model Chicago Bulls New Orleans Pelicans Spread Result
Elo 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% - โœ“
Margin 28.1% 71.9% - โœ“
Pythagorean 39.4% 60.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 31.0% 69.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 27.8% 72.2% - โœ“

Actual: New Orleans Pelicans +7 (90-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
Jalen Rose * 42 7-20 1-6 6-6 3 2 1 2 3 21 6 -
Donyell Marshall * 28 5-12 0-0 4-6 12 1 0 1 2 14 14 -
Jay Williams * 26 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 3 0 -
Trenton Hassell * 25 1-7 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 2 2 -
Tyson Chandler * 13 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 1 3 0 -2 -
Marcus Fizer 23 5-9 0-0 2-4 6 1 0 1 3 12 8 -
Jamal Crawford 21 2-4 1-2 4-5 2 2 1 0 2 9 8 -
Corie Blount 18 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 2 1 1 1 2 7 -
Eddie Robinson 17 5-6 0-0 3-3 3 1 1 0 2 13 10 -
Eddy Curry 11 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 2 2 6 5 -
Fred Hoiberg 9 0-1 0-0 1-1 3 1 0 0 0 1 4 -

New Orleans Pelicans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Nums RAPM GS
David Wesley * 44 11-20 4-8 8-12 6 4 2 0 2 34 24 -
Jamal Mashburn * 44 5-15 1-3 5-5 6 7 3 0 4 16 13 -
Jamaal Magloire * 33 6-8 0-0 3-5 14 0 3 3 3 15 24 -
Baron Davis * 33 4-15 0-3 0-0 3 6 1 1 1 8 3 -
P.J. Brown * 18 2-5 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 4 1 -
George Lynch 23 4-8 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 1 3 8 8 -
Robert Pack 16 0-4 0-0 1-2 3 5 0 0 0 1 5 -
Elden Campbell 14 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
Stacey Augmon 7 0-2 0-0 0-2 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
Robert Traylor 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 2 -

* = starter