Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Pacers | Boston Celtics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.0% | 35.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boston Celtics +5 (98-93). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Pacers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metta World Peace * | 38 | 1-10 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jermaine O'Neal * | 36 | 6-16 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Brad Miller * | 28 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Reggie Miller * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 8-8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| Jamaal Tinsley * | 23 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Al Harrington | 36 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 18 | - |
| Erick Strickland | 24 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ron Mercer | 22 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Foster | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Boston Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Pierce * | 44 | 12-29 | 1-4 | 6-7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 31 | 12 | - |
| Antoine Walker * | 43 | 13-18 | 5-9 | 0-6 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| J.R. Bremer * | 35 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Eric Williams * | 30 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Vin Baker * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Walter McCarty | 21 | 3-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tony Delk | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kedrick Brown | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Bruno Sundov | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter