Model Predictions
| Model | Oklahoma City Thunder | Utah Jazz | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah Jazz +7 (92-85). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Oklahoma City Thunder
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Payton * | 41 | 11-20 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 20 | - |
| Rashard Lewis * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| Brent Barry * | 36 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Predrag Drobnjak * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 14 | - |
| Jerome James * | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 11 | - |
| Desmond Mason | 31 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Vitaly Potapenko | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Anderson | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Calvin Booth | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Utah Jazz
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Malone * | 43 | 14-23 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 21 | - |
| Matt Harpring * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-5 | 7-8 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 18 | - |
| Calbert Cheaney * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Stockton * | 29 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Greg Ostertag * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Andrei Kirilenko | 27 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Mark Jackson | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Tony Massenburg | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Scott Padgett | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| John Amaechi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Carlos Arroyo | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| DeShawn Stevenson | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter