Model Predictions
| Model | Milwaukee Bucks | Toronto Raptors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.6% | 44.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toronto Raptors -12 (87-99). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Milwaukee Bucks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Allen * | 36 | 5-12 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Sam Cassell * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-2 | 8-8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Tim Thomas * | 30 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Mason * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Jason Caffey * | 24 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Toni Kukoc | 31 | 7-12 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Michael Redd | 21 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Kevin Ollie | 18 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Ervin Johnson | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
Toronto Raptors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Williams * | 44 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 28 | - |
| Morris Peterson * | 44 | 9-21 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Antonio Davis * | 38 | 1-10 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Damone Brown * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Alvin Williams * | 29 | 5-12 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | - |
| Rafer Alston | 34 | 5-14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 6 | - |
| Jelani McCoy | 12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Art Long | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter