Model Predictions
| Model | Dallas Mavericks | Sacramento Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.5% | 66.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento Kings +29 (123-94). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Nash * | 31 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Dirk Nowitzki * | 30 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 5 | - |
| Michael Finley * | 30 | 3-12 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Shawn Bradley * | 18 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Adrian Griffin * | 13 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Nick Van Exel | 31 | 8-15 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Walt Williams | 30 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Raef LaFrentz | 24 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Avery Johnson | 12 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Popeye Jones | 10 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Raja Bell | 6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Sacramento Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Webber * | 40 | 12-20 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 15 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 29 | 33 | - |
| Mike Bibby * | 36 | 6-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Doug Christie * | 34 | 7-9 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 19 | - |
| Peja Stojakovic * | 33 | 8-13 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Vlade Divac * | 26 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| Keon Clark | 20 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Jim Jackson | 17 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Damon Jones | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Gerald Wallace | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Hedo Turkoglu | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Mateen Cleaves | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Lawrence Funderburke | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter