Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 71.6% | 28.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 71.8% | 28.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.9% | 42.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +8 (59-51). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Jackson * | 24 | 3-16 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Sue Bird * | 24 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 23 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Adia Barnes * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 17 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 26 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Felicia Ragland | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Kate Starbird | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michelle Marciniak | 13 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| TaKeisha Lewis | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Kate Paye | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 38 | 7-14 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Lady Grooms * | 34 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 25 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 18 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 15 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Andrea Nagy | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Edna Campbell | 12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter