Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Miracle +7 (70-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.