Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 35.1% | 64.9% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Orlando Miracle -10 (72-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.