Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.6% | 45.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (70-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.