Model Predictions
| Model | Minnesota Lynx | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.7% | 68.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +12 (75-63). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 33 | 3-13 | 2-7 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| Tamara Moore * | 28 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 17 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 23 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Lynn Pride | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Janell Burse | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 11 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Shaunzinski Gortman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 34 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Lauren Jackson * | 32 | 6-18 | 0-6 | 4-6 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 23 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 21 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Adia Barnes * | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Kate Starbird | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Simone Edwards | 22 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Michelle Marciniak | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Felicia Ragland | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| TaKeisha Lewis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kate Paye | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter