Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.6% | 63.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -15 (55-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.