Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Sacramento Monarchs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Sacramento Monarchs +9 (74-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 40 | 10-20 | 1-7 | 3-4 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 19 | - |
| Nadine Malcolm * | 35 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Olympia Scott * | 35 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Coquese Washington * | 33 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 31 | 4-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Alicia Thompson | 14 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 6 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 40 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Tangela Smith * | 40 | 7-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Ticha Penicheiro * | 40 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 14 | - |
| Yolanda Griffith * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Lady Grooms * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Ruthie Bolton | 26 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 18 | - |
| La'Keshia Frett | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter