Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.1% | 85.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 19.1% | 80.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks -9 (73-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 40 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Debbie Black * | 35 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 32 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 30 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 27 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 14 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 7 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Trisha Stafford-Odom | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 38 | 5-15 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 35 | 6-19 | 3-11 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 4 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 24 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 17 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Marlies Askamp | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter