Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana Fever | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.7% | 84.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.8% | 76.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +18 (80-62). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nadine Malcolm * | 33 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 26 | 2-10 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 25 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Olympia Scott * | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Coquese Washington | 29 | 5-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Monica Maxwell | 17 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Jackie Moore | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Alicia Thompson | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamecka Dixon * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 31 | 9-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Lisa Leslie * | 30 | 9-17 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 20 | 16 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 23 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Latasha Byears | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 3 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Marlies Askamp | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter