Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Washington Mystics | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.9% | 57.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Washington Mystics -10 (73-83). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.