Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Minnesota Lynx | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 51.9% | 48.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Lynx -3 (58-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 36 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Sandy Brondello * | 28 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Debbie Black * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 19 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Betty Lennox | 25 | 5-20 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -3 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 20 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Ruth Riley | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Minnesota Lynx
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katie Smith * | 38 | 4-15 | 0-7 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 2 | - |
| Tamika Raymond * | 33 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tamara Moore * | 28 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Svetlana Abrosimova * | 23 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | - |
| Lynn Pride * | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Shaunzinski Gortman | 19 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Janell Burse | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Michele Van Gorp | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Kristi Harrower | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Georgia Schweitzer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter