Model Predictions
| Model | New York Liberty | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.1% | 33.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.5% | 49.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -8 (62-70). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
New York Liberty
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Weatherspoon * | 32 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Vickie Johnson * | 32 | 5-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Crystal Robinson * | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Tari Phillips * | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Becky Hammon | 18 | 5-8 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Sue Wicks | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Camille Cooper | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Korie Hlede | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia Scott * | 37 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 36 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 6-9 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 28 | - |
| Nadine Malcolm * | 32 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Nikki McCray * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Niele Ivey * | 25 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Rita Williams | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Bridget Pettis | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Alicia Thompson | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Monica Maxwell | 5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Jackie Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter