Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte Sting | Orlando Miracle | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.1% | 59.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.8% | 46.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Orlando Miracle -5 (67-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.