Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 54.3% | 45.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -6 (62-68). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 35 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 15 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 31 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Sandy Brondello * | 25 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 19 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ruth Riley | 21 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 20 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox | 18 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olympia Scott * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Nadine Malcolm * | 35 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikki McCray * | 29 | 2-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - | - | |
| Niele Ivey * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tamika Catchings * | 11 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams | 17 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Kelly Schumacher | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Monica Maxwell | 10 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Jackie Moore | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - | |
| Zuzana Klimesova | 4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter