Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.2% | 29.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.8% | 20.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +21 (79-58). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 8-11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 21 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 6-6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | - | - | |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 33 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Nikki Teasley * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon * | 14 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 19 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Marlies Askamp | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Erika de Souza | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - | - | |
| Vedrana Grgin Fonseca | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 33 | 5-16 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13 | - | - | |
| Lauren Jackson * | 31 | 8-17 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | - | - | |
| Amanda Lassiter * | 27 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Adia Barnes * | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - | - | |
| Felicia Ragland | 21 | 6-9 | 5-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 19 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kate Paye | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Semeka Randall | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| TaKeisha Lewis | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - |
* = starter