Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle Storm | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 52.0% | 48.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Sol +4 (65-61). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Seattle Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sue Bird * | 41 | 2-12 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Michelle Marciniak * | 39 | 4-11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Lauren Jackson * | 37 | 5-11 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 13 | - | - | |
| Kamila Vodichkova * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Semeka Randall * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Simone Edwards | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - | - | |
| Felicia Ragland | 16 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Amanda Lassiter | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 41 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 38 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 30 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | - | - | |
| Sandy Brondello * | 23 | 0-9 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 30 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox | 28 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - | - | |
| Ruth Riley | 17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Iziane Castro Marques | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter