Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 33.7% | 66.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 33.8% | 66.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +27 (102-75). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.