Model Predictions
| Model | Charlotte | Miami Sol | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.0% | 28.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 72.9% | 27.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Miami Sol -4 (68-72). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Charlotte
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dawn Staley * | 32 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Allison Feaster * | 32 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tammy Sutton-Brown * | 27 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | - | - | |
| Andrea Stinson * | 27 | 8-14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 18 | - | - | |
| Charlotte Smith * | 27 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - | - | |
| Kelly Miller | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Erin Perperoglou | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Summer Erb | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Tonya Edwards | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - |
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 36 | 8-20 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 | - | - | |
| Sandy Brondello * | 36 | 7-15 | 4-7 | 5-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 23 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 30 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 18 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox | 15 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Ruth Riley | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lindsey Yamasaki | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter