Model Predictions
| Model | Sacramento Monarchs | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.5% | 64.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +7 (67-60). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Sacramento Monarchs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tangela Smith * | 40 | 8-17 | 2-3 | 6-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 24 | - | - | |
| Andrea Nagy * | 39 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| La'Keshia Frett * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | - | - | |
| Kedra Holland-Corn * | 32 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Cass Bauer-Bilodeau * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Lady Grooms | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | - | - | |
| Ruthie Bolton | 8 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Kara Wolters | 6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - | - | |
| Hamchetou Maiga-Ba | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikki McCray * | 35 | 6-16 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | - | - | |
| Tamika Catchings * | 34 | 7-14 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | - | - | |
| Olympia Scott * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | - | - | |
| Niele Ivey * | 16 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nadine Malcolm * | 11 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Rita Williams | 30 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Bridget Pettis | 24 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | - | - | |
| Jackie Moore | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Zuzana Klimesova | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Kelly Schumacher | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - | - |
* = starter