Model Predictions
| Model | Utah Starzz | Houston Comets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Houston Comets +16 (73-57). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.