Model Predictions
| Model | Miami Sol | Dallas Wings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 77.3% | 22.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 62.0% | 38.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Wings -4 (74-78). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Miami Sol
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sheri Sam * | 40 | 12-24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 27 | - | - | |
| Debbie Black * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Pollyanna Johns Kimbrough * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Sandy Brondello * | 19 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Vanessa Nygaard * | 17 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - | - | |
| Betty Lennox | 30 | 7-18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Ruth Riley | 14 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - | - | |
| Lindsey Yamasaki | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Claudia Neves | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Dallas Wings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominique Canty * | 38 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Swin Cash * | 37 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 15-21 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | - | - | |
| Wendy Palmer * | 32 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | - | - | |
| Deanna Nolan * | 26 | 3-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Edwina Brown | 25 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Ayana Walker | 20 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | - | - | |
| Barbara Farris | 18 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - | - | |
| Lenae Williams | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - | - |
* = starter