Model Predictions
| Model | Orlando Miracle | Seattle Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Seattle Storm +2 (73-71). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.