Model Predictions
| Model | Washington Mystics | Los Angeles Sparks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 44.6% | 55.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Los Angeles Sparks +4 (73-69). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Washington Mystics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coco Miller * | 33 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | - | - | |
| Chamique Holdsclaw * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Stacey Dales * | 29 | 4-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10 | - | - | |
| Vicky Bullett * | 28 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | - | - | |
| Annie Burgess * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - | - | |
| Asjha Jones | 21 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | - | - | |
| Murriel Page | 14 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - | - | |
| Helen Luz | 6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - | - | |
| Audrey Sauret | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Maren Walseth | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Tonya Massaline | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - |
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 12 | - | - | |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 36 | 7-20 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | - | - | |
| Lisa Leslie * | 35 | 4-18 | 0-2 | 5-6 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - | - | |
| Tamecka Dixon * | 33 | 6-16 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | - | - | |
| Nikki Teasley * | 30 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - | |
| Latasha Byears | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Nicky McCrimmon | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | - | |
| Sophia Witherspoon | 4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - | - |
* = starter