Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | South Bay Lakers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | β |
| Margin | 22.3% | 77.7% | +6.9 | β (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | β |
Actual: South Bay Lakers -4 (97-101). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Baldwin Jr. * | 39 | 5-15 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 36 | 8-20 | 4-11 | 6-8 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 27 | 17 | - |
| Gabe Levin * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 25 | - |
| Dexter Dennis * | 31 | 6-15 | 6-12 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 30 | 0-7 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 26 | 8-18 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 2 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 19 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Mitchell Mascari | 13 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
South Bay Lakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R.J. Davis * | 37 | 11-21 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 28 | 12 | - |
| Drew Timme * | 33 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Chris MaΓ±on * | 30 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Anton Watson * | 29 | 2-8 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Malik Williams * | 22 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Luke Goode | 33 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Arthur Kaluma | 32 | 7-17 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 2 | - |
| William Hickey | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tevian Jones | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter