Model Predictions
| Model | Maine Celtics | Greensboro Swarm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.0% | 82.0% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.0% | 76.0% | - | β |
| Margin | 12.0% | 88.0% | +10.9 | β (11.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 19.8% | 80.2% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | β |
Actual: Greensboro Swarm +22 (112-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Maine Celtics
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kendall Brown * | 37 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 36 | 7-11 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| John Tonje * | 35 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 19 | - |
| Hayden Gray * | 23 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Hason Ward * | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Max Shulga | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Amari Williams | 26 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Keon Johnson | 26 | 3-17 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -9 | - |
| Hank Morgan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam McNeeley * | 31 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 28 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Jaylen Sims * | 27 | 7-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | - |
| Tosan Evbuomwan * | 26 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| PJ Hall * | 18 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| Tidjane SalaΓΌn | 24 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 22 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Josiah Allick | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| DJ Rodman | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Jonas Aidoo | 13 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Caleb Grill | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Evan Gilyard | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jaire Grayer | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter