Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.7% | 35.3% | -3.3 | ✓ (4.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.5% | 37.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Osceola Magic -8 (110-118). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Taylor * | 38 | 6-19 | 1-7 | 6-8 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Mason Jones * | 35 | 6-16 | 2-10 | 3-3 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 29 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 26 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 23 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Isaac Jones | 34 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Dexter Dennis | 33 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 41 | 8-17 | 4-11 | 5-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 15 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 39 | 4-21 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -8 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 38 | 3-10 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 34 | 8-11 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 30 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 28 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 27 | 6-13 | 5-10 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 16 | 0-5 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 14 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
* = starter