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2025-04-11

Model Predictions

Model Osceola Magic Stockton Kings Spread Result
Elo 18.3% 81.7% -
Bradley-Terry 16.3% 83.7% -
Margin 23.6% 76.4% +6.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% -
Efficiency 28.4% 71.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 31.4% 68.6% -
Log Adjusted 31.5% 68.5% -
Points Off/Def 32.4% 67.6% -

Actual: Stockton Kings +18 (144-126). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Osceola Magic

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ethan Thompson * 39 4-10 2-7 2-3 5 4 3 1 1 15 17 -
Alex Morales * 37 7-11 6-9 0-0 6 8 1 0 0 20 24 -
Mac McClung * 36 12-25 3-10 5-5 2 8 1 0 1 34 19 -
Jalen Slawson * 35 9-15 3-8 1-2 8 5 2 3 2 23 24 -
Myron Gardner * 28 6-14 4-9 4-4 3 1 0 2 0 22 14 -
Javonte Smart 26 2-11 0-3 0-0 3 2 0 1 1 4 -2 -
Jarrett Culver 22 2-5 2-3 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Patrick Gardner 11 0-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Xavier Pinson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Chris Walker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mason Jones * 38 7-16 5-8 3-3 6 11 2 1 3 27 28 -
Terry Taylor * 38 8-14 3-5 0-0 10 3 1 1 3 19 17 -
Skal Labissiere * 36 12-19 0-0 2-3 8 1 0 4 2 26 18 -
Isaiah Crawford * 27 4-9 2-4 1-2 3 2 0 0 0 12 8 -
Jon Elmore * 27 5-11 5-10 1-2 1 5 0 0 0 16 11 -
Dexter Dennis 30 8-13 5-8 2-3 8 1 0 1 2 24 19 -
Brian Bowen II 21 4-5 2-3 1-1 10 1 0 0 0 11 17 -
Chasson Randle 19 3-4 2-3 1-1 2 1 0 0 1 9 7 -

* = starter