Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Stockton Kings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.1% | 66.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 57.5% | 42.5% | -1.7 | ✗ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.1% | 41.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Stockton Kings +6 (118-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Mangas * | 41 | 8-19 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | - |
| Malachi Flynn * | 38 | 13-25 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 21 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 37 | 5-11 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| David Duke Jr. * | 35 | 8-15 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 16 | - |
| Ibrahima Diallo * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Quinton Rose | 20 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. | 19 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Kyle Rode | 17 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason Jones * | 42 | 11-23 | 5-9 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 38 | 20 | - |
| Terry Taylor * | 41 | 9-16 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 24 | - |
| Skal Labissiere * | 34 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Isaiah Crawford * | 30 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Jon Elmore * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Dexter Dennis | 25 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Chasson Randle | 24 | 3-9 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Brian Bowen II | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter