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2025-04-03

Model Predictions

Model Valley Suns Stockton Kings Spread Result
Elo 29.8% 70.2% -
Bradley-Terry 38.2% 61.8% -
Margin 33.4% 66.6% +3.8 (4.2 off)
Pythagorean 43.4% 56.6% -
Efficiency 35.3% 64.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Log Adjusted 39.2% 60.8% -
Points Off/Def 38.7% 61.3% -

Actual: Stockton Kings +8 (122-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valley Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TyTy Washington Jr. * 39 16-31 5-10 1-1 13 12 0 2 1 39 34 -
Jaden Shackelford * 37 7-18 3-7 1-1 1 1 2 1 0 20 7 -
Jalen Bridges * 35 6-8 3-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 15 9 -
Mamadi Diakite * 31 5-11 0-3 2-2 5 4 1 3 2 12 12 -
Moses Wood * 29 2-6 1-5 1-1 4 1 1 1 1 7 7 -
Alex Schumacher 24 2-5 1-2 1-1 4 2 1 0 0 8 10 -
Paul Watson 20 4-7 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 1 2 9 5 -
Tyrese Samuel 16 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 1 0 2 4 -
Kaleb Johnson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 2 3 -

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Skal Labissiere * 40 11-19 3-6 0-0 17 4 0 1 2 25 26 -
Mason Jones * 40 17-29 5-9 5-5 5 10 1 0 3 47 31 -
Terry Taylor * 39 8-17 2-5 0-0 7 2 0 2 3 18 9 -
Isaiah Crawford * 35 3-9 1-5 2-2 3 1 2 4 0 9 10 -
Jon Elmore * 25 4-8 4-6 0-1 4 4 0 0 0 12 12 -
Chasson Randle 23 2-5 1-3 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 5 -
Dexter Dennis 20 2-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
Brian Bowen II 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 2 4 -

* = starter