Model Predictions
| Model | Noblesville Boom | Osceola Magic | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 43.9% | 56.1% | +1.4 | ✓ (13.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.6% | 56.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Osceola Magic +15 (129-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RayJ Dennis * | 44 | 7-25 | 2-15 | 1-2 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 6 | - |
| Quenton Jackson * | 43 | 10-23 | 5-9 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33 | 16 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 41 | 7-14 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 38 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 22 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Cameron McGriff | 21 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Obadiah Noel | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| De'Vion Harmon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Osceola Magic
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethan Thompson * | 38 | 11-18 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 26 | - |
| Alex Morales * | 37 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| Mac McClung * | 35 | 12-21 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 39 | 27 | - |
| Jalen Slawson * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Myron Gardner * | 26 | 3-8 | 1-5 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Javonte Smart | 29 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Jarrett Culver | 22 | 2-9 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Patrick Gardner | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter