Model Predictions
| Model | Valley Suns | Santa Cruz Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.4% | 46.6% | -0.7 | ✓ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.5% | 43.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors -4 (127-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valley Suns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TyTy Washington Jr. * | 37 | 16-27 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 23 | - |
| Jaden Shackelford * | 37 | 6-14 | 3-7 | 4-5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Bridges * | 35 | 7-14 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Mamadi Diakite * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Moses Wood * | 32 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| Alex Schumacher | 21 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| Paul Watson | 17 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | - |
| Tyrese Samuel | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Kaleb Johnson | 11 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Rowe * | 37 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 17 | - |
| Yuri Collins * | 35 | 6-19 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Braxton Key * | 35 | 13-22 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | - |
| Blake Hinson * | 34 | 8-20 | 5-13 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 15 | - |
| Taran Armstrong * | 33 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Donta Scott | 25 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Javan Johnson | 15 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Seth Maxwell | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gil-Fernandez | 10 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter