Model Predictions
| Model | Greensboro Swarm | Noblesville Boom | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Noblesville Boom +10 (120-110). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Greensboro Swarm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen Sims * | 42 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 15 | - |
| Keyontae Johnson * | 36 | 12-21 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Garrett * | 34 | 6-10 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 15 | - |
| Damion Baugh * | 27 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | -1 | - |
| Reggie Perry * | 24 | 2-16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Joel Soriano | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 17 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 24 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Terrell Brown Jr. | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| MJ Walker | 12 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -2 | - |
Noblesville Boom
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quenton Jackson * | 42 | 13-18 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 34 | 31 | - |
| RayJ Dennis * | 40 | 6-18 | 5-10 | 5-6 | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 20 | - |
| Johnny Furphy * | 39 | 10-15 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 33 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jahlil Okafor * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Dakota Mathias | 27 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Cameron McGriff | 19 | 3-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Ishmael Lane | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Obadiah Noel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter