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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves South Bay Lakers Spread Result
Elo 36.6% 63.4% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 39.7% 60.3% - βœ“
Margin 34.6% 65.4% +3.5 βœ“ (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.1% 54.9% - βœ“
Efficiency 45.3% 54.7% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 55.1% 44.9% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% - βœ“

Actual: South Bay Lakers +7 (123-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Zyon Pullin * 40 11-22 0-2 5-7 3 9 2 0 4 29 17 -
Jalen Crutcher * 37 7-16 2-7 3-5 1 4 0 0 4 19 4 -
Joan Beringer * 35 9-17 0-0 1-1 15 1 0 2 2 20 19 -
Enrique Freeman * 29 3-8 1-3 1-2 7 4 0 1 1 9 12 -
Jules Bernard * 28 6-17 3-7 3-6 5 5 2 0 4 21 12 -
Terry Taylor 28 5-10 1-3 0-0 8 1 1 1 0 11 12 -
Dajuan Harris 14 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 3 4 -
Martez Brown 13 0-1 0-1 0-1 5 0 0 1 1 0 4 -
Elijah Pemberton 6 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Donte Ingram 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

South Bay Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dalton Knecht * 33 5-13 2-5 5-5 7 4 2 1 4 18 15 -
Drew Timme * 32 8-12 1-3 2-3 9 5 0 3 2 20 23 -
Malik Williams * 28 6-10 3-6 1-2 3 0 1 3 1 17 13 -
Bronny James * 28 6-9 3-4 1-1 2 3 2 0 2 17 13 -
Adou Thiero * 15 2-6 0-3 1-2 1 4 0 1 0 6 6 -
Nick Smith Jr. 32 6-15 2-5 0-1 4 6 1 1 2 14 9 -
Arthur Kaluma 24 7-9 1-3 1-2 2 2 1 0 2 16 10 -
Chris MaΓ±on 21 3-6 0-1 3-4 6 2 1 0 0 10 13 -
Anton Watson 12 0-1 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
R.J. Davis 11 1-3 1-3 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 3 3 -

* = starter