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2026-03-11

Model Predictions

Model Birmingham Squadron Grand Rapids Gold Spread Result
Elo 62.7% 37.3% -
Bradley-Terry 49.5% 50.5% -
Margin 42.7% 57.3% +1.6 (28.6 off)
Pythagorean 33.4% 66.6% -
Efficiency 20.6% 79.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% -
Log Adjusted 21.5% 78.5% -
Points Off/Def 15.2% 84.8% -

Actual: Grand Rapids Gold -27 (95-122). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Birmingham Squadron

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Shumate * 39 10-14 3-4 1-3 10 2 2 0 1 25 24 -
Trey Alexander * 39 10-18 2-7 5-6 5 13 1 1 6 31 27 -
Hunter Dickinson * 33 7-14 1-5 0-1 15 2 0 0 0 15 18 -
Josh Oduro * 30 5-16 0-1 1-1 14 0 0 3 0 11 12 -
D.J. Carton * 9 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 2 2 -
Johnny O'Neil 35 7-9 5-7 1-2 4 2 1 0 1 20 17 -
Trhae Mitchell 25 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
Chase Hunter 24 5-11 3-7 0-0 2 2 1 0 3 13 4 -
Cheikh Mbacke Diong 2 1-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 2 -

Grand Rapids Gold

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
DaRon Holmes II * 35 6-20 3-7 2-3 13 0 0 1 5 18 7 -
Curtis Jones * 33 3-14 1-9 0-0 7 5 1 1 1 7 6 -
Dane Goodwin * 31 5-10 2-5 0-0 7 1 2 0 1 12 11 -
KJ Simpson * 30 8-13 2-3 0-0 2 5 2 0 2 18 12 -
Moses Brown * 20 5-12 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 2 1 11 5 -
Coleman Hawkins 24 1-4 0-2 0-0 6 6 0 2 0 2 12 -
Javante McCoy 20 7-10 3-3 1-2 4 2 2 0 0 19 17 -
Ben Coupet Jr. 13 0-3 0-0 0-1 0 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
Terrence Hargrove Jr. 12 2-4 2-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 6 4 -
Derek Ogbeide 9 0-2 0-0 1-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Rahsool Diggins 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Tony Carr 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jaden Seymour 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter