Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Spurs | Rio Grande Valley Vipers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.9% | 62.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 77.7% | 22.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Rio Grande Valley Vipers +1 (112-111). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Ingram * | 33 | 8-14 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 27 | - |
| Stanley Umude * | 32 | 3-11 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| James Banks III * | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Mangas * | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 19 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 0 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 29 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Donovan Williams | 28 | 8-14 | 5-10 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| Adam Flagler | 22 | 5-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 21 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Tre King | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
Rio Grande Valley Vipers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daishen Nix * | 41 | 8-20 | 4-9 | 6-6 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 31 | 26 | - |
| Cameron Matthews * | 39 | 8-17 | 1-5 | 3-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| Tyler Smith * | 37 | 7-12 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Tristen Newton * | 33 | 8-18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| John Knight III * | 25 | 3-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Caleb McConnell | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Stevie Mitchell | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Chase Jeter | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter