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2026-02-03

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Wolves Stockton Kings Spread Result
Elo 43.3% 56.7% -
Bradley-Terry 39.0% 61.0% -
Margin 51.0% 49.0% -0.2 (4.8 off)
Pythagorean 38.0% 62.0% -
Efficiency 9.7% 90.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% -
Log Adjusted 86.8% 13.2% -
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% -

Actual: Stockton Kings -5 (109-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Iowa Wolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alize Johnson * 39 7-12 0-2 0-1 13 8 1 0 3 14 21 -
Jules Bernard * 39 5-17 0-4 10-12 10 5 2 0 2 24 22 -
Jalen Crutcher * 39 8-16 5-8 2-2 5 8 3 0 3 25 22 -
Enrique Freeman * 36 8-14 1-4 3-4 7 1 1 2 1 22 18 -
Rocco Zikarsky * 28 7-11 0-2 0-1 7 0 1 3 0 14 14 -
Nate Santos 26 1-7 0-5 3-3 3 1 0 0 1 6 2 -
Donte Ingram 15 3-4 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 7 4 -
Dajuan Harris 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Nojel Eastern 6 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -

Stockton Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Daeqwon Plowden * 41 7-13 2-5 2-3 8 3 0 0 3 20 15 -
Dexter Dennis * 40 4-10 1-3 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
DaQuan Jeffries * 37 10-20 5-9 6-6 5 5 2 0 0 36 28 -
Isaiah Stevens * 33 5-11 1-3 2-3 3 3 0 1 3 14 7 -
Daniel Batcho * 13 1-5 0-0 0-1 3 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
Jon Elmore 29 5-10 4-6 2-2 2 4 1 0 1 17 13 -
Jaylin Williams 19 3-4 1-2 1-1 8 1 1 0 3 9 12 -
Mitchell Mascari 14 1-6 0-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -2 -
KJ Jones II 8 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter