Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa Wolves | Santa Cruz Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.1% | 31.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.2% | 35.8% | -3.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.1% | 34.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Santa Cruz Warriors -4 (123-127). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alize Johnson * | 44 | 6-13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 15 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Jalen Crutcher * | 39 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 21 | - |
| Jules Bernard * | 38 | 9-18 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 12 | - |
| Enrique Freeman * | 35 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| Rocco Zikarsky * | 26 | 7-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| Nate Santos | 27 | 5-9 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 10 | - |
| Donte Ingram | 15 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Dajuan Harris | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| CJ Fulton | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Nojel Eastern | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Santa Cruz Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taevion Kinsey * | 41 | 10-15 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 26 | 20 | - |
| Jack Clark * | 40 | 4-14 | 3-11 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Jacksen Moni * | 32 | 5-13 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Franco Miller, Jr. * | 31 | 1-11 | 0-7 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Riley Grigsby * | 29 | 3-10 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 1 | - |
| Desmond Cambridge | 31 | 9-15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Chance McMillian | 23 | 10-17 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 19 | - |
| Ja'Vier Francis | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
* = starter