Model Predictions
| Model | Stockton Kings | Austin Spurs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 47.1% | 52.9% | +0.6 | ✗ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Austin Spurs -4 (115-119). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Stockton Kings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dexter Dennis * | 37 | 7-16 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 11 | - |
| Daeqwon Plowden * | 34 | 6-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Isaiah Stevens * | 34 | 4-13 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 17 | - |
| DaQuan Jeffries * | 32 | 6-13 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Daniel Batcho * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Jon Elmore | 27 | 3-7 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Jaylin Williams | 26 | 7-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 28 | - |
| KJ Jones II | 17 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Mitchell Mascari | 15 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
Austin Spurs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Williams * | 32 | 7-14 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Harrison Ingram * | 30 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Jayden Nunn * | 28 | 6-12 | 2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 12 | - |
| Stanley Umude * | 28 | 7-14 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17 | 7 | - |
| James Banks III * | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Kyle Mangas | 33 | 5-14 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| David Jones Garcia | 23 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Elfrid Payton | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Tre King | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Trey McGowens | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter